Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.701988 0.803604 0.913876 1.042314 1.187686 1.347003 1.534720
2025-01-26 0.572251 0.715749 0.884616 1.097501 1.358193 1.666486 2.058171
2025-02-02 0.480727 0.652221 0.869541 1.163875 1.550715 2.040253 2.705024
2025-02-09 0.393240 0.575815 0.823722 1.182538 1.685777 2.363166 3.340176
2025-02-16 0.322286 0.506898 0.774250 1.185767 1.798430 2.670910 4.000016
2025-02-23 0.268161 0.450972 0.732096 1.190176 1.910657 2.990860 4.720189
2025-03-02 0.224509 0.402162 0.691186 1.187851 2.009806 3.301987 5.467031
2025-03-09 0.194010 0.368617 0.667953 1.208237 2.145179 3.683328 6.369406
2025-03-16 0.164447 0.330715 0.630454 1.197462 2.225419 3.983505 7.175631
2025-03-23 0.145949 0.309387 0.618024 1.227593 2.378507 4.421562 8.264365
2025-03-30 0.125360 0.279904 0.585356 1.214608 2.450546 4.725075 9.151430
2025-04-06 0.111451 0.261260 0.570229 1.232170 2.580716 5.146321 10.297690
2025-04-13 0.094911 0.234112 0.534233 1.203916 2.620747 5.410001 11.192888
2025-04-20 0.087148 0.225160 0.534926 1.251985 2.821410 6.007049 12.803360
2025-04-27 0.081430 0.219901 0.542821 1.316800 3.065937 6.719978 14.727430
2025-05-04 0.072936 0.206104 0.529040 1.330972 3.203102 7.229422 16.294256
2025-05-11 0.064690 0.191213 0.510121 1.330155 3.306486 7.679321 17.786788
2025-05-18 0.057703 0.178202 0.493533 1.332184 3.416341 8.155190 19.388108
2025-05-25 0.051323 0.165502 0.475517 1.327722 3.509916 8.604981 20.981013
2025-06-01 0.046848 0.157376 0.468089 1.349128 3.669247 9.221979 23.019855
2025-06-08 0.041580 0.145672 0.448895 1.336368 3.740984 9.642101 24.646839
2025-06-15 0.038541 0.140324 0.446611 1.369256 3.934599 10.374503 27.092393
2025-06-22 0.034307 0.130094 0.428374 1.354514 4.000178 10.800776 28.840563